ez14. wrote:wish we were getting those milk prices! Around $15.00 here. $17.50 is almost breakeven that would make things a LITTLE easierfarmerjan wrote:Those prices are in the range of what we have been seeing here for the past 6-9 months. Some nice conditioned black commercial cows with calves brought $1200-1600 2 weeks ago and I thought they were a little high. The breds were bringing $800-1000. I look for prices to be softer this fall and next year, even with the fires and late blizzard losses from earlier this spring. I honestly don't look for the prices to improve much before 2019 or 2020 and that will depend on the export situation. Milk prices are falling again and there will be more dairies selling out, because they have not been able to get caught up in the few months the prices rose, after the horrible drop into the $14.50/15.50 per hundred weight last year. Prices were up to about $19/$20 per hundred but didn't stay there for more than a couple months and they can't catch up with prices already dropping to the $17.50 range and forecast to fall more. One month they are crying surplus, then 2 months later they are saying they can't get enough milk and are having to truck it from here to timbuktoo... When these dairies start selling out there will be a surplus of cull beef. Feeder calf prices will fall again, then in 6 months they will be crying since they can't find enough calves to put on feed...Holstein bull calves here doubled in price in less than 2 weeks with the recent losses from the weather...from $100 to over $200 head last week. They were $50-60 just a month ago. There is no rhyme or reason to it anymore.
ez14; We have a bit more of a fluid milk price base here than you do as I think you are more in the area of cheese making. We don't get paid on components, SNF or CY, but only on BF and premiums for low SCC. I heard that there was a milk co-op that gave farmers a 30 day "pink slip" and told them to find another outlet for their milk and that only about 25% of them did. Was it in Wisc? What the he// does a farmer do in that case, other than sell at a big loss, and go bankrupt, or worse? Part of this is directed towards the smaller farmer and trying to put them out in favor of big farms, shipping half and whole trailer loads at a time etc and so forth. That will give the milk companies more control and it is trying to go in the direction of the "chickenization integration". Most of the dairy farmers in this area are getting alot older also, very few young people want the work, headaches, and stress of 7/24 anymore with no financial incentive to have a decent life. Most aren't asking for a windfall, just to be able to make a living. The ones that are still making it are the mennonites, but even from them I am hearing alot more rumblings of how difficult it is and many are adding poultry houses to diversify. Then they are at the beck and call of the turkey and chicken companies....I don't know what this country is going to do when it is all owned and controlled by a few mega companies and then they are sold out to foreign enterprises and they grab us by the balls and say, okay, screw you, you will pay this or go without. Not to mention the biosecurity and what if those few sources are infected and there is a big selloff/dieout or something like what happened in britain but on a bigger scale due to the larger scale of farming here. We are losing our diversity, our foundation of breeds for seedstock, and our security, in many of the livestock sectors. It is sad and scary for the next generations coming up.