What variables affect the cattle market?

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RanchMan90
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What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby RanchMan90 » Wed Feb 07, 2018 5:16 pm

What variables affect the cattle market in your opinion? Such as commodity prices, weather, import, export, etc...
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ALACOWMAN
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby ALACOWMAN » Wed Feb 07, 2018 5:49 pm

The wind.....
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wbvs58
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby wbvs58 » Wed Feb 07, 2018 6:02 pm

Our cattle herd seems to be either selling off due to drought or in a rebuilding phase with prices to match.

Ken
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby ALACOWMAN » Wed Feb 07, 2018 6:22 pm

wbvs58 wrote:Our cattle herd seems to be either selling off due to drought or in a rebuilding phase with prices to match.

Ken
same goes on here,folks were dumping cattle off at stockyards,, summer before last. first pastures went,which was bad enough.. But water sources went dry..ponds, wells, creeks..some of the survivors benefitted buying cheap cattle.. Other lost their butts giving them away...comrodery be damed apparently..
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby farmerjan » Wed Feb 07, 2018 8:19 pm

Things here seem to be affected by the weather ; first local and then across the country. Also the amount of hay left over from the previous year. A couple years ago prices were through the roof due to rebuilding of herds that were sold off for mostly drought conditions further south and west. Now the herds seem to be rebuilding and heifer retention is high so prices are down alot. We were dealing with the JBS plant closure in Pa for awhile, and pound/cull cow prices were down and have only rebounded a bit. If there is a surplus of grains/commodities near the feedlots then feeder prices will usually rebound a bit.
Our water situation has been very iffy. Dry last fall, no real moisture until here recently and still not a whole lot. Ponds way down, many creeks slow or not running and springs and wells going dry. I think that is the number one with pasture/hay availability number 2.
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby sim.-ang.king » Thu Feb 08, 2018 1:40 am

JBS...
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby wbvs58 » Thu Feb 08, 2018 4:14 am

sim.-ang.king wrote:JBS...


Yes the processors sure get into the cheap cattle when there is a sell off and are not the least bit charitable and don't give a cent more than they can get away with. I have seen them at the buying rail and they just take turns in buying a pen so they don't compete. Turn the tables when supply is scarce as in the rebuilding phase and you get the sob stories that they are not making money but losing, they have short memories of how they treated you just a short time ago.

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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby TexasBred » Thu Feb 08, 2018 8:52 pm

ALACOWMAN wrote:The wind.....

Along with gossip, BS and lies mostly. Somewhere down the road a bit of supply and demand gets in the play.
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby kenny thomas » Thu Feb 08, 2018 9:03 pm

RanchMan90 wrote:What variables affect the cattle market in your opinion? Such as commodity prices, weather, import, export, etc...

If some rich investor wakes up with the trots it seems to mess it up
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby NolanCountyAG » Thu Feb 08, 2018 11:29 pm

Cattle inventory and slaughter reports, electronic trading.
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby bball » Fri Feb 09, 2018 7:08 am

As stated, supply and demand. Marketing and availability of alternative protein choices and their prices. Many of the issues previously posted directly impact supply and/or demand for beef. Weather, crop prices, etc just to name a few
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby farmerjan » Fri Feb 09, 2018 3:49 pm

The closure of the JBS plant in Pa directly affected the cull cow market here. There were more cull cows than the other places could process, so prices fell way off. Finally they got it resolved; supposedly had rat manure in the plant/meat? and it has been back up since late Nov I think. But there was a backlog of cull cows and prices took until mid Jan to come back much and they are still not great $40's to upper $50's / 100 wt.
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby Dave » Fri Feb 09, 2018 8:19 pm

ALACOWMAN wrote:The wind.....


The wind was really howling here out of the west yesterday. Does that mean the market will go up or down?
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Re: What variables affect the cattle market?

Postby gizmom » Fri Feb 09, 2018 8:31 pm

Hum good question:

Dry weather
Wet weather
Hot weather
Cold weather
Dem elected to office
Rep elected to office
Certain diets
Good corn crop
Bad corn crop
Mad cow disease
PETA
Fuel cost
Imports
Exports

I am sure I missed a lot!

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