Jabes0623 wrote:I'm more curious to see if this move toward quality pounds above else will finally kill the black is king mindset that so permeates the cattle industry.
Also CB brought up what I believe is the single most important & pressing issue that will effect the beef industry in the next decade or two. What is this industry going to look like in 20 years? I believe the average age of Americas cattle farmers & ranchers is the mid 50's. Simple math will tell you that in the next 10-20 years there's going to be massive holes that need to be filled in the beef supply chain due to retirements & deaths. The vacuum that will be created by this will create a massive opportunity for those who are well positioned to step up & fill it. The only question is, as George Jones said, who's going to fill their shoes?
I believe this that the small operator will become extinct.
In my area alone in the last 15 years half of the salebarns are gone.
One or two more go due to volume, transportation cost will keep rising to a breaking point.
What happens when they all close there is no way to ship your product unless you have a pot
load there is no way you can turn a profit freight alone will eat you alive.
The only way you could a pot load together you and your neighbors would have to pool your calves.
Now that means that you are going to have to sync your operations.
Or open up a small slaughter house and meat shop if you can get through all the regs and money.
Today in Texas 90% of the cattleman run 35 head or less can't remember the exact percentage it was something like less than 2% were over 250. That is the survivors IMO. That is a lot of producers disappearing the void will be filled by corporations again IMO.
I run sale-barn cattle.